Liverpool via instinct

first_img[dropcap]S[/dropcap]ometimes, in this game you can try and get too clever.Sometimes, something deep inside you just says you fancy a bet. Is this wrong, is it wrong just to back based on old fashioned instinct ?I’m a classic case in point. Always trying to justify a bet by statistics and maths. Looking at head to head records, current form, team formations, gossip and tweets and fancying a bet even more when I make a team a 56.5% chance of winning when a bookmaker says it’s only 53.9% whatever, whatever, whatever.Technology means we have every element of data at our fingertips, a myriad of markets to bet on and take advantage of.But what happens when a little voice inside your head says, during a pleasant Sunday morning stroll in glorious weather, “Liverpool will win today”.It doesn’t tell you why, it doesn’t tell you what odds you should back them at, it doesn’t even tell you who they are playing and as for getting the kick off time transmitted in the message ….. forget it. The message goes as quickly as it comes and it’s brief. “Liverpool will win today”.Do you know what? I’m going to trust my instinct today and back Liverpool. After Chelsea’s catastrophic slip-up last night – Liverpool have the golden chance to move into second place, four points behind Chelsea, but with a game in hand.Man U’s hopes of a Champions League spot will be all but extinguished if they don’t win here. But they’re not the team they were, they haven’t all season, and 15/8 on Star Sports about the current Liverpool looks a cracking bet.…. and please don’t blame me if I’m wrong. Blame my damned instinct.RECOMMENDED BET (scale of 1-10 points)10 points LIVERPOOL at around 15/8 with Star SportsRUNNING RETURN (MARCH): LOSS 40.00 POINTSRUNNING RETURN (YEAR): LOSS 60.03 POINTSWhat’s your view? CALL STAR SPORTS 08000 521 321last_img